24卷2期
/
2017 / 11
/
pp. 97 - 115
政治化到動員? 2004-2016 年台灣首投族投票率的縱貫性研究
Politicized to Mobilize? A Longitudinal Study of First-Time Voters’ Voting Intentions in Taiwan, 2004-2016
作者
Karl Ho Karl Ho *
(Clinical Associate Professor, School of Economic, Policy and Political Sciences, University of Texas at Dallas)
Cal Clark Cal Clark
(Emeritus Professor, Department of Political Science, Auburn University Emeritus Professor, Department of Political Science, Auburn University)
Alexander C. Tan Alexander C. Tan
(Professor, Department of Political Science and International Relations, University of Canterbury (NZ); Chair Professor, Department of Political Science, National Chengchi University Professor, Department of Political Science and International Relations, University of Canterbury (NZ); Chair Professor, Department of Political Science, National Chengchi University)
Karl Ho Karl Ho *
Clinical Associate Professor, School of Economic, Policy and Political Sciences, University of Texas at Dallas
Cal Clark Cal Clark
Emeritus Professor, Department of Political Science, Auburn University Emeritus Professor, Department of Political Science, Auburn University
Alexander C. Tan Alexander C. Tan
Professor, Department of Political Science and International Relations, University of Canterbury (NZ); Chair Professor, Department of Political Science, National Chengchi University Professor, Department of Political Science and International Relations, University of Canterbury (NZ); Chair Professor, Department of Political Science, National Chengchi University
中文摘要

Much has been made about the “coming of age” of many Taiwanese young and new voters as an important factor contributing to the gratifying electoral result of the DPP and its pan-Green allies. The Taiwanese case, then, may be considered an aberration as the increased political activism among the younger Taiwanese voters stands in some contrast to the supposed apathy of their counterparts in the Western world. Indeed, this particular generation of young Taiwanese voters may have been “politicized” so much so that they are also easily “mobilized.” In this paper, we examine whether Taiwanese new voters are indeed politicized and whether their politicization translates to voting intentions. Using longitudinal TEDS surveys to detect common patterns of first-time voters’ voting behavior, preliminary results from our multivariate analysis indicate that first-time voters are not different in likelihood of participating in voting compared to other voters. The subtle difference, however, resides on the viable options with which these young cohorts can identify. This can be part of the reason they are more supportive of the new parties than merely the traditional parties.

英文摘要

Much has been made about the “coming of age” of many Taiwanese young and new voters as an important factor contributing to the gratifying electoral result of the DPP and its pan-Green allies. The Taiwanese case, then, may be considered an aberration as the increased political activism among the younger Taiwanese voters stands in some contrast to the supposed apathy of their counterparts in the Western world. Indeed, this particular generation of young Taiwanese voters may have been “politicized” so much so that they are also easily “mobilized.” In this paper, we examine whether Taiwanese new voters are indeed politicized and whether their politicization translates to voting intentions. Using longitudinal TEDS surveys to detect common patterns of first-time voters’ voting behavior, preliminary results from our multivariate analysis indicate that first-time voters are not different in likelihood of participating in voting compared to other voters. The subtle difference, however, resides on the viable options with which these young cohorts can identify. This can be part of the reason they are more supportive of the new parties than merely the traditional parties.

中文關鍵字

年輕選民; 參與; 投票行為; 動員; 首投族

英文關鍵字

young voters; participation; voting behavior; mobilization; firsttime voters