從新加坡2001年的國會大選結果，可以發現以下三個現象。首先，人民行動賞高層已出現權力重組的跡象。吳作練總理自1990年接任總理職位迄今已超過10年，應該是到了權力交棒的時候；再加上副總理李顯龍准將最近動作頻頻，因此外界乃一致認為人民行動賞高層應該會在下一次大選之前，完成新一波的政治繼承交接。

其次，是反對黨的內部權力紛爭和勢力重組的課題。由於代表反對勢力龍頭的兩位人士－詹時中和劉程強目前都是處於權力的高峰。詹時中除了將四個在野政黨加以整合之外，而且也獲得許多反對黨人士的支持；然而，對於身為最大反對賞－工人黨秘書長的劉程弦而言，他也一樣處於新舊反對勢力整合的關鍵，如果他能順利完成新的工人黨的內部整合工作，詎料他將會取得更大的權力。不過，他們兩人對於未來反對賞的發展局勢並不表樂觀。

最後，就選舉制度的設計而言，人民行動黨透過集選區制度的操作，不但可藉此防止反對黨有任何勝選的機會外，同時也可藉此作為篩選和提拔黨內精英的管道。不過，卻也相對引發外界對該制度設計的公平性提出質疑，因此制度設計上的問題，同樣成為本次大選的討論焦點。

然而，對新加坡本身而言，選舉只是一件定期的例行性工作，反對賞在毫無勝選希望的情況之下，是無法發揮政治監督的作用，因此新加坡未來的政治發展趨勢，仍將是由人民行動賞控制。

Three phenomena can be found from the results of Singapore's 2001 general election. First, the ruling PAP is to be restructured after more than ten years ruled by Mr. Goh Chok Tong since 1990. Recently, Deputy Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong has actively showed up in public, implying a possible power shift before the next general election. Secondly, it is related to the internal struggle and power disputes within the opposition parties. Although two key opposition leaders, Mr. Chiam See Tong and Low Thia Khiang, are still in power in their own parties, they begin to face the issue of internal integration and political succession in their own parties. They both are not optimistic towards the future development of opposition parties in Singapore. Finally, with regard to electoral system, the PAP not only can use the Group Representation Constituency to recruit new members in the Parliament, but also can use this system to avoid the opportunity of the to win the elections. Yet, the 2001 general election raised the issue of fairness on the Group Representation Constituency, giving more opportunity to discuss the disputed electoral system. It is anticipated that the ruling PAP given little opportunity for the opposition to compete in the general elections, will continue to rule Singapore in the coming years.

新加坡;國會大選;政治繼承;集選區制度

Singapore; General Election; Political Succession; Group Representation Constituency (GRC)