52(1)
/
2009 / 3
/
pp. 59 - 85
東亞經濟整合體制對台灣吸引國際投資的影響
The Impact of the East Asian Economic Integration Regime on Taiwan’s Attractiveness of International Investment
作者
童振源 Chen-yuan Tung *
(國立政治大學國家發展研究所副教授 Associate Professor, Graduate Institute of Development Studies, National Chengchi University)
童振源 Chen-yuan Tung *
國立政治大學國家發展研究所副教授 Associate Professor, Graduate Institute of Development Studies, National Chengchi University
中文摘要

本文分析東亞經濟整合體制對台灣吸引國際投資的影響。根據本研究的問卷調查結果,如果台灣無法加入東亞經濟整合協定,26-35%的台灣企業與外商會減少對台灣投資。如果台灣加入東亞經濟整合協定,23-37%的台灣企業與外商會增加對台灣投資。台灣加入東亞經濟整合協定的情況比台灣無法加入東亞經濟整合協定的情況下,台灣企業與外商對台灣增加投資的比例在49-72%左右。如果兩岸簽訂經濟整合協定,30-41%的各類型企業會增加對台灣投資。此外,受調查企業呈現非常明顯而強烈的共識,認為台灣應該簽訂經濟整合協定的第一優先對象為中國與美國,協議內容則為綜合功能的經濟整合協定。

英文摘要

This article analyzes the impact of the East Asian economic integration regime on Taiwan’s attractiveness of international investment. According to the questionnaire surveys conducted by this study, if Taiwan cannot participate in an East Asian economic integration agreement, 26-35% of Taiwan’s local and foreign enterprises will reduce their investment in Taiwan. If Taiwan participates in an East Asian economic integration agreement, 23-37% of Taiwan’s local and foreign enterprises will increase their investment in Taiwan. Under the scenario of Taiwan’s participation in an East Asian economic integration agreement, compared to the scenario of Taiwan’s exclusion in an East Asian economic integration agreement, 49-72% of Taiwan’s local and foreign enterprises will increase their investment in Taiwan. If Taiwan and China sign an economic integration agreement, 30-41% of Taiwan’s local and foreign enterprises will increase their investment in Taiwan. Furthermore, the consensus of Taiwan’s local and foreign enterprises is very significant and strong, indicating that the first priority partners for Taiwan to sign an East Asian economic integration agreement are China and the United States and the contents of an East Asian economic integration agreement should be a comprehensive and multi-functional economic integration agreement.

中文關鍵字

台灣、東亞、自由貿易協定、經濟整合協定、經濟整合體制、國際投資

英文關鍵字

Taiwan; East Asia; free trade agreement; economic integration agreement; economic integration regime; international investment