本文透過檢視南海仲裁判斷中「歷史性權利」和「島嶼制度」的 解釋，觀察中國在仲裁後，以法律、外交與軍事行動，形塑國際法之 效應。研究顯示：第一，仲裁判斷未完整解釋歷史性權利，或將留給 中國持續推動以漁權為中心的排他之歷史性權利解釋；第二，仲裁庭 採取嚴格島嶼定性的解釋，反更促進中國以島礁建設鞏固其海域權利 主張；第三，中國或將透過具法律拘束力的「南海行為準則框架」， 確立「低度」南海衝突管理制度。

This article analyzes the jurisprudence of the historical rights and regime of the islands provided in the Award of the South China Sea Arbitration in order to observe how China influences the practices and interpretation of law of the sea through legal, diplomatic and military actions. The main research findings of the article are: Since the Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) did not comprehensively take other legal sources into its historical rights interpretation account, that may leave some room for China to continue enforcing exclusive historical or fishing rights. Since the PCA expects to partly solve the conflict in the South China Sea by narrowly interpreting the elements of the regime of islands, that may, to the contrary, even motivate China to counter threats from U.S. military action by strengthening its land reclamation in the Spratly Islands. China may try to conclude a binding conflict management mechanism with weak legal obligations so as to exclude other higher applic able legal obligations in the future.

南海仲裁;歷史性權利;九段線;島嶼制度;太平島

South China Sea Arbitration; Historical Rights; NineDash Line; Regime of the Islands; Taiping Island/Itu Aba